Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.001027 0.001170 0.001313 0.001467 0.001628 0.001790 0.001965
2025-11-30 0.000853 0.001063 0.001279 0.001518 0.001773 0.002034 0.002321
2025-12-07 0.000673 0.000928 0.001200 0.001508 0.001843 0.002191 0.002579
2025-12-14 0.000508 0.000792 0.001107 0.001473 0.001877 0.002303 0.002784
2025-12-21 0.000411 0.000722 0.001079 0.001501 0.001975 0.002481 0.003055
2025-12-28 0.000298 0.000619 0.001004 0.001471 0.002003 0.002577 0.003234
2026-01-04 0.000222 0.000551 0.000964 0.001475 0.002065 0.002708 0.003448
2026-01-11 0.000152 0.000479 0.000912 0.001460 0.002102 0.002808 0.003625
2026-01-18 0.000096 0.000417 0.000866 0.001450 0.002141 0.002907 0.003798
2026-01-25 0.000039 0.000330 0.000781 0.001386 0.002115 0.002930 0.003885
2026-02-01 0.000010 0.000274 0.000730 0.001361 0.002130 0.002997 0.004019
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000234 0.000699 0.001356 0.002169 0.003089 0.004178
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000183 0.000658 0.001355 0.002228 0.003227 0.004413
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000162 0.000660 0.001409 0.002357 0.003446 0.004744
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000118 0.000618 0.001403 0.002412 0.003580 0.004978
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000072 0.000559 0.001370 0.002432 0.003673 0.005166
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000052 0.000546 0.001399 0.002529 0.003853 0.005453
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000023 0.000494 0.001370 0.002550 0.003944 0.005636
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000008 0.000468 0.001375 0.002611 0.004082 0.005871
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.000431 0.001361 0.002648 0.004189 0.006070
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.000399 0.001351 0.002688 0.004298 0.006270
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.000337 0.001289 0.002658 0.004322 0.006369
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.000300 0.001264 0.002675 0.004401 0.006532